Food for Thought...

· Two of the most commonly reported barriers to homebuying are high down payment requirements and high home prices. The majority of Americans feel that it has become more difficult to obtain mortgages and that the application process is more difficult than a year ago. Consumers also believe that the terms they are offered are too demanding given the weak economic conditions. Many of today’s loans require home buyers to put down at least 5 percent. However, home buyers have reason to be optimistic. If signed by President Bush as expected, the American Housing Rescue and Foreclosure Prevention Act would allow states to issue an additional $11 billion to first-time buyers and homeowners with subprime mortgages.


· Although interest rates remain low by historic standards, concerns over the sustainability of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have contributed to an increase in interest rates. Investors who purchase these loans are wary and are demanding higher interest rates to offset the added perceived risk. The average 30-year, fixed-rate loan was up nearly a point two weeks ago, to 6.37 percent, compared with the year’s low of 5.48 percent, which was set in January.


· Credit ratings are playing an ever-increasing role among consumers seeking to purchase a new home or refinance an existing one. By improving their credit scores, Americans can save billions of dollars annually on interest payments. As of June 1, buyers with credit scores of less than 620 that put down less than 30 percent must pay a fee of 2.75 percent of their mortgage principal. Consumers with higher credit ratings were previously rewarded by not having these up-front fees imposed. Now, those with a credit score between 680 and 720 may be required to pay a 0.5 percent fee. Consumers can boost their credit scores and receive more favorable rates by keeping credit card utilization rates below 50 percent and avoiding exceeding the maximum limit on credit cards.


· The nation’s banks are in less danger of failing today than they were during the savings & loan crisis of the late 1980s and early 1990s, when more than 1,000 financial institutions failed and taxpayers funded a bailout totaling more than $125 billion. How does the current crisis compare? To date this year, only six lenders have failed and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) has only 90 banks on its "watch" list, compared with 575 banks in 1994. However, former FDIC Chair William Isaac recently called bank failures a "lagging indicator" rather than a "leading indicator" and predicted there will be more bank failures this year as lenders cope with subprime lending losses.


· Banks and loan servicers may be beginning to catch up with troubled loan workouts, but the numbers of borrowers who require assistance continues to rise. During the first six months of this year, Countrywide says it modified the terms of 86,000 loans, and Bank of America, which recently acquired Countrywide, reports that counselors are completing more than two workouts for every completed foreclosure. Hope Now, an alliance of lenders, says it conducted 70,000 loan modifications in May, although an estimated 85,000 families lost their homes that month. Even if loans are modified borrowers still may not be able to make their mortgage payment if they have lost a job, for example. According to a working group of the Conference of State Bank Supervisors, 32,000 loans that were modified in recent months already are delinquent again. That may be because few loan modifications actually result in lower monthly payments due to a cut in the principal loan balance. In California, only 1.3 percent of loan modifications involved such a reduction.


· IndyMac Bancorp’s new management, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), has halted foreclosures and said it is focusing on modifying existing loans to make them more affordable for IndyMac borrowers. The bank has about $15 billion in mortgage loans in its own portfolio and manages servicing for another $185 billion in mortgages owned by other institutions. FDIC officials said they were examining troubled loans contained in the broader servicing portfolio loan by loan to determine whether they can be modified. However, borrowers serviced by IndyMac who need help may want to move quickly: The FDIC hopes to sell the troubled thrift and its assets within 90 days. IndyMac reopened under federal oversight on Monday after regulators closed its doors on Friday. Last year, it ranked as the tenth-largest mortgage lender and eight-largest mortgage servicer in the county.




Source: C.A.R Market Matters July 17 2008 & July 24 2008